Volume List  / Volume 4 (3)



DOI: 10.7708/ijtte.2014.4(3).07

4 / 3 / 339-351 Pages


Ali Kemal Çelik - Atatürk University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Quantitative Methods, 25240, Erzurum, Turkey -

Ötüken Senger - Kafkas University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Quantitative Methods, 36100, Kars, Turkey -


The aim of this paper is to determine risk factors affecting the fatal versus non-fatal accidents in a rural region of Turkey, during 2008-2012, considering variables associated with the individual, the environment, and the motor vehicle. A retrospective study was conducted by obtaining the data from the traffic police road accident reports between 2008 and 2012. A stepwise logistic regression analysis was performed to analyze the data and critical factors that contributed significantly to fatal versus non-fatal traffic accidents. The results revealed that the driver’s age (OR = 1.09; 90% CI = 1.05 – 1.14), clear weather (OR = 0.11; 90% CI = 0.02 – 0.65), winter season (OR = 0.16; 90% CI = 0.03 – 0.75), straight (OR = 0.22; 90% CI = 0.05 – 0.91) or slight road curve/bend (OR = 0.17; 90% CI = 0.04 – 0.83), the driver’s education (OR = 0.18; 90% CI = 0.04 – 0.85) and the purpose of the vehicle (OR = 0.20; 90% CI = 0.04 – 0.94) were the significant factors affecting road traffic accidents over the sample period.

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The authors would like to thank Kars Provincial Traffic Police Department, especially Traffic Services Branch and Regional Traffic Control Branch Offices’ chief superintendents and all the staff for their supports, special interests, and courtesy in charge of collecting nonpersonal ized data and advice on data management that made this study possible.


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