The goal of IJTTE is to broaden the knowledge of traffic and transport experts and academicians by promoting free access and provide valuable insight to transport related information, research and ideas. IJTTE will serve as a great resource for researchers and students across the globe.
Volume List  / Volume 2 (4)

Article

USING LOGISTIC REGRESSION TO IDENTIFY RISK FACTORS CAUSING ROLLOVER COLLISIONS

DOI: 10.7708/ijtte.2012.2(4).07


2 / 4 / 372-379 Pages

Author(s)

Essam Dabbour - Abu Dhabi University, Abu Dhabi, P.O. Box 59911, United Arab Emirates -


Abstract

Rollover collisions are among the most serious collisions that usually result in severe injuries or fatalities. In 2009, there were 8,732 fatal rollover collisions in the United States of America that resulted in the death of 9,833 persons. Those numbers represent approximately 28% and 29% of the total numbers of fatal collisions and fatalities, respectively. The main objective of this paper is to examine the impact of different risk factors that may contribute to this type of serious collisions to help develop countermeasures that limit them. To avoid the bias that may be caused by interactions among different drivers, this analysis focuses on rollover related to single-vehicle collisions so that the behavior of the driver of the collided vehicle can be analyzed more effectively. Logistic regression technique is utilized to analyze single-vehicle rollover collisions that occurred on state and interstate highways in the states of Ohio and Washington in 2009. The results obtained from this analysis have the potential to help decision makers identify different strategies to limit the severity of this type of collisions.


Download Article

Number of downloads: 3543

Keywords:
traÂ’ffic accidents; rollover collisions; logistic regression analysis; risk management;


References:

Chang, H.; Yeh, T. 2006. Risk factors to driver fatalities in single-vehicle crashes: comparisons between nonmotorcycle drivers and motorcyclists, ASCE Journal of Transportation Engineering. DOI: httžp://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(2006)132:3(227), 13(3): 227-236.

 

DeLeys, N.J.; Parada, L.O. 1986. Rollover potential of vehicles on embankments, sideslopes and other roadside features. Report FHWA/RD-86/164, Federal Highway Administration, USA. 246 p.

 

Digges, K.H.; Malliaris, A.C.; Ommaya, A.K.; McLean, A.J. 1991. Characterization of rollover casualties. In Proceedings of the 17th International IRCOBI Conference, University of Virginia and DeBlois Associates. 309-319.

 

Harb, R.; Radwan, E.; Yan, X.; Pande, A.; Abdel-Aty, M. 2008. Freeway work-zone crash analysis and risk identification using multiple and conditional logistic regression, ASCE Journal of Transportation Engineering. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(2008)134:5(203), 134(5): 203-214.

 

Harrison, W.A. 1997. An exploratory investigation of the crash involvement of disqualied drivers and motorcyclists, Journal of Safety Research. DOI: httžp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0022-4375(96)90042-0, 28(3): 213-219.

 

Islam, S.; Mannering, F.L. 2006. Driver aging and its effect on male and female single-vehicle accident injuries: Some additional evidence, Journal of Safety Research. DOI: hžttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2006.04.003, 37(3): 267-276.

 

McCullagh, P.; Nelder, J.A. 1989. Generalized linear models, 2nd Ed. Chapman and Hall, USA. 532 p.

 

McLean, A.J.; Kloeden, C.N.; Ponte, G.; Baldock, M.R.J.; Lindsay, V.L.; Van den Berg, A.L. 2005. Rollover crashes. Centre for Automotive Safety Research, Report CASR026. The University of Adelaide, Australia. 28p.

 

National Highway Traffi’c Safety Administration (NHTSA). 2012. Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS). Available from Internet: httžp://www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov.

 

Ponboon, S.; Boontob, N.; Tanaboriboon, Y.; Bin Islam, M.; Kanitpong, K. 2010. Contributing factors of road crashes in Thailand: evidences from the accident in-depth study, Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 8(3): 1958-1970.

 

Robertson, S.; Aultman-Hall, L. 2001. Impact of road conditions on elderly drivers, ASCE Journal of Transportation Engineering. DOI: httžp://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(2001)127:3(244), 127(3): 244-246.

 

Shankar, V.; Mannering, F. 1996. An exploratory multinomial logit analysis of single-vehicle motorcycle accident severity, Journal of Safety Research. DOI: hžttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0022-4375(96)00010-2, 27(3): 183-194.

 

Suraji, A.; Tjahjono, N. 2012. A confirmatory factor analysis of accidents caused by the motorcycle aspect in urban area. International Journal for Traffic and Transport Engineering, 2(1): 60-69.

 

Wright, P.H.; Zador, P. 1981. Study of fatal rollover crashes in Georgia, Transportation Research Record, 819(1): 8-17.


Quoted IJTTE Works

A CONFIRMATORY FACTOR ANALYSIS OF ACCIDENTS CAUSED BY THE MOTORCYCLE ASPECT IN URBAN AREA



Related Keywords

AIRCRAFT DEPARTURE CONTROL SYSTEMS – HIDDEN SAFETY RISKS