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Article

THE LONG-TERM FORECAST OF LAND PASSENGER TRANSPORT RELATED CO2 EMISSION AND ENERGY USE IN HUNGARY

DOI: 10.7708/ijtte.2014.4(4).03


4 / 4 / 386-396 Pages

Author(s)

Tamas Andrejszki - Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Department of Transport Technology and Economics, Hungary -

Adam Torok - Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Department of Transport Technology and Economics, Hungary -

Eva Molnar - Division of Transport, United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, Switzerland -


Abstract

Hungary as the part of the European Union has to deal with the reduction of CO2 level. Reaching the 2050 target requires to examine and develop every sector of the emission. Transport has a dynamic and significant part in CO2 emission but generally policymakers do not have the courage to change significantly the modal shift by political decisions because of their popularity. Transport investments are generally long-term investments that show a return in around 30 years. ForFITS is a software tool for policymakers to simulate the effects of different transport scenarios and gives outputs about the transport activity, energy consumption and emission of the next 30 years. Hungary take its’ part of the UNDA project as being one of the pilot countries of using ForFITS. After the collection of data different scenarios were made. The aim of this study is to present the most realistic scenario for Hungary especially in the case of passenger transport.


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Acknowledgements:

The authors are grateful to the support of Bolyai János Research fellowship of HAS (Hungarian Academy of Science).


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